Eggs Laid by Tigers

Sunday, October 04, 2009

 

The Battles of Barge Natal, Wahat and Kandesh [Times] or Kandeshh [Post]












The Battle of Wahat took place in June 2008, just before General McChrystal took power. Nine Americans died in that battle.














The battle is widely seen as the wrong way to conduct warfare in Afghanistan: the people were against us, there was inadequate intelligence, and all the rest. You can read the analysis in The New York Times , and google has a number of accounts from soldiers and parents of fallen soldiers who took part in the battle. Some are moving, indeed.

The criticism is severe, all the way up the chain of command. We are assured that when McChrystal commands, matters will be different.



Wahat is a village in Kunar Province, just south of Nuristan, in the Hindu Kush Mountains, bordered by Pakistan, if you believe the Times.














If, however, you believe the Post, it is in Nuristan., and is spelt "Kandaysh".

Neither spelling proudices information or images in google, which is exceedingly odd, since our troops like to send bkoattle pics to google.



















Just recently, the Times reported eight American deaths in the Kandesh district of Nuristan, where we recently sent troops presumably to further Karzai's politician ambitions. See yesterday's blog. Google has no pics of the Kandesh district yet.

The report of the Kandesh battle is remarkably similar to the report of the Wahat battle, though we do not have a formal investigative report yet.

Query: has Mcchrystal made a difference?


This guy is explaining how an irrigation device works to Nuristani. That looks like a good thing to do. Is it working for us?
















_______________________
Queen's Beach, Waikiki


Queen's beach, Waikiki: beach persons.


















Meanwhile, mustering such empathy as is in our nature to muster, we head off to the gym, and thence, to dine on potatoes. Potatoes, anyone?

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Thursday, August 20, 2009

 

The Afghan election and Tajikistan




I'll simply embellish this news article. Afghans who are quoted in the article are quoted as saying they are voting for "change." Don't know how the Times selected respondents, but form the comments selected it sounds like Obama is running for president of Afghanistan.

Durell

The New York Times

August 21, 2009

Counting Starts After Afghans Defy Militant Threats to Vote

KABUL, Afghanistan — Defying Taliban warnings and scattered attacks, Afghans voted Thursday in an election that has become a critical benchmark of the nation’s progress for both the Afghan government and the Obama administration.

The polls closed at 5 p.m. in Afghanistan, and the vote-counting began immediately. Despite the apparently low turnout in the south and complaints from some candidates about fraud, Afghan and American officials were quick to congratulate Afghans for voting despite the violence.

NOTE: The south is were the Pashtun, and presumably Karzai's greatest strength are.

“On the basis of what we’ve seen so far, it seems clear that the Taliban utterly failed to disrupt these elections,” said Richard C. Holbrooke, the American special envoy to the region, in an interview after he toured four polling stations in Kabul.

President Hamid Karzai, at a news conference at the presidential palace as the polls were closing, said there had been 73 episodes of violence in 15 provinces.

“The Afghan people dared bombs, rockets and intimidations, but came out and voted,” Mr. Karzai said. “Let’s see what the turnout was.”

Mr. Karzai’s main opponent, the former foreign minister Abdullah Abdullah, called the low turnout in Kabul, “unsatisfactory.” He added that his supporters were lodging complaints of fraud, in particular from the southern province of Kandahar.


Note: This is, one supposes, a campaign photo of Mr. Abdullah, whose mother is Tajik and whose father is Pashtun. Perhaps the carpet can fly.

Tajik make up about 30% of Afghanistan's population, and Pashtun, 40%. Tajik are concentrated in the north, near Tajikistan, of course.









Here's Tajikistan, a Persian nation: Persian is spoken and the people are Iranian in origin. Tajikistan is a secular nation, and 90% o of the population is Muslim.

Below are some pics of from Tajikistan. Probably not representative.



But even though it was too early to tell, Mr. Abdullah said preliminary results were hopeful, and he called the day a victory for the people of Afghanistan.

“Despite all the difficulties, despite all the security problems and other problems, people went to the polls, and they participated in this day,” he said at a news conference in the garden of his home. “And in fact they stood up to those who wanted to take away the people’s right to choose their destiny.”

Insurgents in the south threw up makeshift roadblocks in one area to warn off voters, and in Kandahar, witnesses said, insurgents hanged two people because their fingers were marked with indelible ink used to denote that they had voted.


Here's Kandahar, in happy times . . .









and sad.

“I know the Taliban threaten people not to vote, but I am coming and using my vote,” said Bakht Muhammad, 24, after he voted in Kandahar. “I want change. I want security. I want to live my life in our country.”




Even as officials from the Obama administration, on hand to monitor the elections, expressed reserved optimism that the voting was transparent, they fretted about whether the ballot counting would be equally so.

Mr. Holbrooke, speaking to reporters at one of the polling stations in Kabul cautioned: “The test is going to be in the counting. If the will of the electorate is going to be thwarted, it will happen in the counting.”

The polls opened at 7 a.m. As early as 8 a.m. in Kabul, officials at the American Embassy were hearing complaints of fraud. Ashraf Ghani, the former finance minister who is one of the presidential candidates, e-mailed American officials to say that he had reports that his opponents were stuffing ballot boxes. Other presidential candidates were making similar complaints to American officials, who referred them to the national election body.

“All the candidates and the rivals sent their complaints to the Independent Election Commission,” Mr. Karzai said, adding: “There is another commission called the Complaint Commission and they will evaluate and assess the complaints and I will not talk about it.”

As the suspicions of election fraud continued throughout the day, there were reports of sporadic violence that began in the morning as polls opened.

In Kabul, the Afghan police fought a gun battle on Thursday with three men who took over a house overlooking police headquarters in the Kart-e-Now district of the capital, killing two of them and capturing one, a police official said at the scene as bystanders applauded the officers who had fought the insurgents. The men were suspected of being suicide attackers sent by the Taliban.

The owner of the house, Naser, who like many Afghans uses only one name, was leaving to go vote when the gunmen stormed inside. “I went out with my boys to go to the polling station,” he said. “As soon as I got out of my house I saw two armed people enter it.” Naser said the gunmen told him to go away, and he soon witnessed the exchange of gunfire.

A Taliban spokesman, Zabihullah Mujahid, told Reuters earlier that three Taliban guerrillas were involved in the shooting, which seemed to be part of a strategy to disrupt an election that is proving tighter than expected.

In Kandahar, there were few people on the streets after nine rockets were fired. But when the rocket fire eased, people slowly began making their way to the polling stations.

Sharina, a 30-year-old voter in Kandahar, said she was “scared of bombs and suicide bombers, but I have to take all this risk and participate in the election.”

But Bismillah Jan, 30, said he had told his family not to vote. “I am not afraid of the Taliban’s warning, but I am afraid of bombs and suicide explosions, so I will not let my family participate in the elections,” he said.


In the province of Wardak, an hour’s drive south of Kabul, there were more security officials than voters at many polling stations after a barrage of six rockets fell just before the polls opened and three more followed soon afterward.

Here's Wardak, in happier times . . .





. . .and sad.


A mechanic, Qudratullah, 32, who like many Afghans has only one name, said he encountered Taliban representatives on the road from Narkh District, just over a mile from the provincial capital of Wardak. “They were standing on the road telling people not to vote,” he said. “Of course I am scared,” he said. But he voted nonetheless. “We want to see change and a younger generation in a better condition.”

In Kabul, Zahir Azimi, a spokesman for Defense Ministry, said on television that the voting process was proceeding better than expected. In the southern province of Paktia, he said, two would-be suicide bombers were shot to death before they could detonate their explosives. Some 300,000 security personnel members from Afghan and NATO forces were deployed to guard the polls, he said.

But residents of Kabul said the turnout seemed lower than in previous elections in 2004 and 2005. At one polling station, Mitra Hemat, 24, an election worker, said the turnout was significantly down. “There are very few people,” she said. “People are afraid, I can tell.”

The major question at the election, diplomats and analysts said, is whether President Karzai will succeed in winning over 50 percent of the vote in the first round, securing a victory, or be pushed into a second, more unpredictable round of voting.

A vast field of 34 opponents and a last-minute surge by his main challenger, Abdullah Abdullah, as well as Taliban intimidation in the volatile south, which is Mr. Karzai’s base, threatened to chip away at the president’s support.

The election unfolded under high expectations among some Afghans that it would bring change. “I am happy to use my vote, and I hope things will change and peace will knock at our door,” said Zainab, a 40-year-old voter in Kandahar. “I am telling the world we want peace and stability in Afghanistan, I am telling the next president to restore peace and give Afghans the chance to work, I am telling the next president to stop this killing and bombing,” she said.

Musliha, 70, said: “If I sit at home and everyone sits at home, there will be no change, we can’t achieve what we want. We need to choose the right person.”

Reporting was contributed by Helene Cooper, Sangar Rahimi and Abdul Waheed Wafa from Kabul; Taimoor Shah from Kandahar, Afghanistan; Alan Cowell from Paris; and Liz Robbins from New York.


It is no wonder that people of Afghanistan want change. But I suspect stuffed ballot boxes will prevail. To much opium money and money from the US Treasury to take chance on Democracy.

_____________


Pics from the Persian nation of Tajikistan:



Guess who's Tajik and whose not.




















Tajik mountain men




















A family [of substance] photo






















Naturally Tajikistan was a member of the Soviet Union, and it still retains socialist habits of thought, such as state-owned farms. Here a farmer is working land next to a state farm, using his $200 ox. This ox and hand-are not standard farming for most of the country, but is is for this fellow; don't know why him. I'll try to find out.
















Farm workers, could have been in Texas or Minnesota when we were young.






















This young fellow went to Moscow to work when work dried up in Tajikistan. Now work has dried up in Russia and he has returned home. He's having a hard time colleting his wages from the Moscow job.












Here, but for the grace of God, sit I.

Or is it really a grace? This old guy looks pretty content.

Maybe old guys are generally content.

Guess so.



















__________________


My study at home, on a bright, sunny day



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Monday, August 17, 2009

 

Karzai, the Taliban, Brave candidates; Brave Troops




The New York Times reports that the Taliban have ordered a boycott of the upcoming presidential election, including in Helmand Province.


The present president, Hamid Karzai. a Pashtun, is favored, but the Taliban boycott threatens his reelection.















To get n idea of other candidates in the race, go here.














The election stirs up great excitement in Afghanistan. Look a little like Iranians. Afghans are dedicated politicians. To find out what the candidates say about negotiating with the Taliban, go here. Karzai comes out strongly in favor of it, though he has not proved to be very vigorous in the pursuit of negotiations for the past five years. Or perhaps he has had successful negotiations with the Taliban, only about how to divide up opium profits, when we want negotiations to be about ending the War. One candidate, who has scant chance of willing, says, "Going down to defeat is no disgrace; being a coward is." Sounds like pashtunwali to me.


Most of the Taliban are Pashtun. It is as if Mitt Romney were running and the Mormons boycotted his election by threatening to chop off a finger of anyone who voted for anyone. Query: has Karzai done something un-Pashtun, so as to render him an outcast by all Pashtun? Or is Taliban loyalty to their religion so strong as to overcome, in some Pashtun, the normally strong Pashtun bonds, giving vent to the hatred of us and out allies.? Will the boycott have an effect on the outcome? Is Karzai our opium-growing puppet and nothing more?



Here is the "city" of Garmsir, referred to in the Times article. Garmsir is a place where voting is to take place, if it happens in the South. Garmsir is the capitol city of Garmsir District in Hellmand Province.























These pics were taken in 2008. Might look different now.

Looks like Lyford, Texas, on a really bad day.












Folks do live in Garmsir. Here's a pic of some of them meeting with Marines in a Shura, which is what passes for Democracy in the Muslim tradition. For a discussion of Shura, go here. It's pretty interesting.







Some of the dudes pictured here are destined to be friends with our young Marines; others of them will kill a Marine or be killed by him. General McChrystal can, I suppose, tell which of these men is destined to be our friend and which, foe. Can you?



Here is a pic of two of our fresh troops, dressed in their colorful traditional costumes (as it might seem a local Pashtunwho has never seen an American dressed otherwise) on a mission to make friends and to and kill if unavoidable, talking to a farmer who lives in a village of 150 other folks about 12 miles from Garmsir. The farmer was friendly enough, according to the Times. Corn looks good.




Imagine, you are an Afghan, dressed as our Marines are dressed, having a conversation through an interpreter with Buck Boswell, a good 'ol boy and a farmer in Raymondville, Texas, who just won an award for good conseervation practices. How would Buck likely react to dressed-up foreigners, toting guns, talking with him about, say, the value of switching to opium production. I don't think Buck would take kindly to it..That'll give you an idea of the task General Mcchrystal has set for our guys and gals.

All indications are that our Marines are accepting the task with vigor. My admiration for them reaches the sky.



Allah Akbar! God is Great! Or at least He is good enough for creatures such as we.

___________________________

Here's some of our hard-working Heros in Garmsir, after a day's work at a near-impossible task. I honor them. At least one of these boy-men may be a boy some of us know and love. It's so hard not to polarize, not to harden my heart against an enemy. Buddha could do it, it is said. South Texas boys seldom grow up to be little Buddhas. Ah, well. Keep at it, I suppose.






























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